Relief in Sight – Default Rates Projected to Fall
July 25, 2009 – 6:07 amLenders have seen the largest number of credit card defaults since 1983 and increases in the triple-digits of charge-offs since 2007. But according to regulatory filings by the major credit card lenders, defaults and delinquencies are falling and could be lower than estimated in the second half of the year; the first sign that default rates have reached their peak. According to Bernstein Research, the average 30-day delinquency rate decreased in May to 1.57% from 1.71% the month before. It was the second month in a row that 30-day delinquency rates declined. And with American Express predicting improvement in the second half of the year, there may be a glimmer of hope about consumer credit.
- Capital One Financial Corp. announced a modest rise in annualized net charge-offs in June, much smaller increase than was expected. Delinquent accounts of 30 days or more saw a modest drop to 4.77% in June from 4.9% in May.
- American Express announced delinquent accounts of at least 30 days declined from 4.7% in May to 4.4% in June. Alt